Win for Southwest and a setback for United Airlines – Houston Approves International Flights from Hobby

by: Siva Vayali - May 30th, 2012   Filed under: Airlines Add Comment

In a major win for Southwest Airlines (WN) and a setback for United Airlines (UA), Houston City Council today overwhelmingly approved to start international flights from Hobby Airport (HOU). Beginning 2015, Southwest plans to start flights to Mexico, the Caribbean and  South American destinations, pending regulatory approvals.

Southwest welcomed the decision saying that it would bring in additional jobs and millions of dollars in economic impact to the city. United Continental Holdings, the parent of United Airlines said that it is disappointed in the decision.

United contends that allowing international flights from a secondary airport like Hobby would drain passengers from the city’s main international gateway, George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), which is also the biggest hub for the combined entity of United Airlines and Continental Airlines. United already indicated that if international flights are allowed out of Hobby,  it has to retrench 10 percent of the workforce in Houston, drop the proposed Houston – Auckland flight and put the $700 million improvement at IAH on hold.

As always, both airlines brought out studies to bolster their arguments. The Houston Airport System, part of City of Houston, manages both airports and already approved the decision.

There are supporting facts to both United and Southwest. United has invested heavily in IAH over the years, building a respectable route system to Caribbean, Mexico and South America. Southwest would bring down the pricing power in the market, there by reducing United’s operating margins. United maintains its Latin American hub in IAH and does not want to jeopardize its growth (even though much smaller scale than the massive American Airlines (AA) hub in Miami (MIA)).

Southwest argument of additional revenue and passengers to the city also makes sense.

Eventually, United has to bring down its operating costs in line with that of Southwest to make money on those routes. Otherwise, United would end up losing the battle to Southwest as most travelers on these route are price conscious.

Tags: , , , , , ,

More A380 Services Start – Air France to Washington Dulles and San Francisco; Lufthansa to Miami

by: Siva Vayali - June 10th, 2011   Filed under: Airlines, Airports Add Comment

Starting June 6, 2011, Air France started its Airbus A380 Super Jumbo services to Washington Dulles and San Francisco International from Paris-Charles de Gaulle. The service to Washington Dulles would operate year around. The SFO service would be a summer only affair (ends in September 4, 2011). Air France already operates A380 services from Paris CDG to New York JFK and Montreal, Canada.

In the meantime, Lufthansa inaugurates its A380 service to Miami on June 10, 2011 (on the Frankfurt route). Lufthansa already operates A380 services from Frankfurt to New York JFK and San Francisco. All Lufthansa services are  operated year around.

Air France A380 - Courtesy: Air France

Air France A380 - Courtesy: Air France

Happy Flying!!!

BTW, don’t expect a 380 service from any US carriers or British Airways. They have no A380 in their order books. Their plan is to have the B787 Dreamliner as an alternative to the Airbus Super Jumbo. The earliest available delivery date for the B787, which Boeing keeps deferring, is fall 2011.

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

American Airlines Q1 Results – A Snapshot

by: Siva Vayali - April 20th, 2011   Filed under: Airlines 1 Comment

American Airlines today announced its Q1 results. As expected, the carrier lost money. Last year American outlined turnaround plan that would focus on its five cornerstone markets (New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, Dallas and Miami), implementing joint venture agreements on Trans-Atlantic and Trans-Pacific routes. The results reflect the fact that American’s efforts for a turnaround are hampered by the rising cost of fuel. As the only legacy carrier that did not declare bankruptcy, American continued to be hurt by its huge debt, higher labor costs and pension obligations.

Q1 highlights

  • Unit Revenue (PRASM) up by 5.2%
  • Passenger yield up by 6.2% (year-over-year)
  • Unit costs down by 1.8% (excluding fuel costs and special items)
  • Mainline capacity up by 2.7%
  • Joint business with British Airways and Iberia implemented on Trans-Atlantic routes
  • Joint business with Japan Airlines implemented on Trans-Pacific routes
  • Enhanced service at Los Angeles LAX (including new LAX – Shanghai route launch)
  • New agreements signed with Expedia (and Hotwire)
  • New agreement signed with Priceline
  • Law suit filed against Orbitz (and Travelport, LLC)

Guidance

  • Planning to reduce the domestic capacity and increase international capacity
  • Planning to retire 25 more MD-80s in 2011
  • Fuel is the biggest concern
  • Cost of fuel expected to be $3.10/gallon for Q2 and $3.07/gallon for 2011
  • For Q2, 49% of fuel hedged at average cap of 2.66/gallon and 39% of fuel hedged at average floor of $2.04/gallon
  • For entire 2011, 41% of fuel hedged at average cap of 2.63/gallon and 35% of fuel hedged at average floor of $2.02/gallon
  • Cost per Available Seat Mile (CASM) is expected to be about flat to 2010, excluding fuel and potential new labor costs
  • Other concerns include Labor Contracts, Facilities and Healthcare costs
 

  • Unit Revenue (PRASM) up by 5.2%
  • Passenger yield up by 6.2% (year-over-year)
  • Unit costs down by 1.8% (excluding fuel costs and special items)
  • Mainline capacity up by 2.7%
  • Joint business with British Airways and Iberia implemented on Trans-Atlantic routes
  • Joint business with Japan Airlines implemented on Trans-Pacific routes
  • Enhanced service at Los Angeles LAX (including new LAX – Shanghai route launch)
  • New agreements signed with Expedia (and Hotwire)
  • New agreement signed with Priceline
  • Law suit filed against Orbitz (and Travelport, LLC)
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

Thoughts on Lufthansa’s selection of Miami as the next A380 destination

by: Siva Vayali - March 31st, 2011   Filed under: Airlines, Airports 1 Comment

Lufthansa today announced that Miami would be the next US destination to be served by Airbus A380. The world’s largest passenger airplane would replace the Boeing 747 currently operated on the Frankfurt – Miami route.

Lufthansa A380 - Courtesy: Lufthansa

Lufthansa A380 - Courtesy: Lufthansa

Lufthansa’s selection of North American destinations for A380 is interesting:

New York JFK is currently served four times a week using A380. The JFK service will become a daily on A380 starting April 10, 2011 (this means LH will delay the resumption of A380 service to Tokyo Narita, suspended due to the recent Tsunami and Earthquake, for a longer period). San Francisco will be served using A380 starting May 10, 2011. Miami will get A380 service starting June 10, 2011.

The JFK service is a no-brainer. The interesting thing to note here is Lufthansa’s preference of Miami and San Francisco over Newark Liberty (EWR), Chicago O’Hare (ORD) and Washington Dulles (IAD), all Star Alliance hubs and major gateways for LH. As more A380’s join the fleet, these gateways would get the service, but right now, they are not included.

There could be several reasons for this. I believe the following reasons played a major role in the selection process.

1. Single daily flight is easy to upgrade: Miami, with just one flight per day, and virtually no connection traffic, gives Lufthansa the flexibility to switch the metal from B747 to A380. San Francisco, though a Star hub, is also served by a single Lufthansa flight. So, it is easy for LH to replace the B747 with A380. Newark, Chicago and Washington need multiple flights from Frankfurt, as Lufthansa connects majority of its US bound traffic from these hubs through Star partner United. From these hubs, Lufthansa needs multiple frequencies a day to provide better connection options to its frequent flyers.

The exceptions to this theory are Toronto (YYZ) and Los Angeles (LAX), both Star hubs with a single Lufthansa flight (though Toronto is served by 2 daily flights from its anchor Air Canada).

2. A380 better than B744 on non-hub cities: Operating an A380 is more cost effective than a B744. Lufthansa’s B744s have poor customer reception. Replacing them with A380 would provide a better chance to protect its turf in hubs dominated by other carriers (MIA is a good case – it could deter American Airlines from starting a competing service).

3. Alliance Partners have a say in equipment upgrade: United and Air Canada have a transatlantic joint venture with Lufthansa and the schedules at Star hubs are coordinated between these carriers for optimal connections. United, being the anchor at EWR, ORD and IAD, has to make sure parity of service quality with Lufthansa in these hubs. So, United may be less receptive to LH upgrading these routes with A380, because its own product would fall behind in quality. The same argument goes for YYZ and Air Canada.

[TABLE=7]

So, my prediction is this: the next Lufthansa destination for A380 will be Los Angeles, followed by Houston and Boston.

Newark, Chicago, Washington and Toronto will have to wait get their turns.

Moral of this analysis: sometimes, being a hub with multiple daily flights to a destination can be a drawback to get better service!!!!

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,